Stocks of TransUnion (TRU) are poised to climb above their peers

TransUnion (NYSE: TRU) stock jumped 2.28% on Wednesday to $61.45 against a previous-day closing price of $60.08. With 0.67 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 1.51 million shares. During the session, the Consulting Services company that operates in wider Industrials sector, reached to the highest price of $62.23 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $60.10. The 52-week range on TRU shows that it touched its highest point at $120.36 and its lowest point at $50.32 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $75.12. With its current market cap of 11.90 billion, TRU has annualized dividend of $0.42 while the current yield stands at 0.68%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.29.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of TRU was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -3.76%, but this was up by 7.07% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -24.20% while six-month performance fell -25.34%. The stock lost -46.05% in the past year, while it has lost -48.18% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for TRU yields 1.06 with Next year EPS estimates of 3.64. For the next quarter, that number is 0.82. This implies an EPS growth rate of 20.60% for this year and -0.46% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 10.33% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 23.00%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 192.60 million TRU shares are outstanding with a float of 192.10 million shares on hand for trading. On Oct 13, 2022, short shares totaled 3.39 million, which was 1.76% higher than short shares on Sep 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. Christopher A. Cartwright as the firm’s Pres, CEO & Director, Mr. Todd M. Cello CPA serves as its Exec. VP & CFO.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 101.51% of TRU’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 59.85% of TRU, in contrast to 38.94% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 35.57%. As the largest shareholder in TRU with 11.34% of the stake, T. Rowe Price Investment Manageme holds 21,858,535 shares worth 21,858,535. A second-largest stockholder of TRU, The Vanguard Group, Inc., holds 16,796,758 shares, controlling over 8.72% of the firm’s shares. T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. is the third largest shareholder in TRU, holding 11,263,647 shares or 5.85% stake. With a 4.88% stake in TRU, the T Rowe Price Capital Appreciation is the largest stakeholder. A total of 9,410,385 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index, which owns about 3.00% of TRU stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 5,773,888 shares valued at 342.22 million. Stichting Pensioenfonds ABP holds 2.96% of the stake in TRU, owning 5,706,139 shares worth 338.2 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for TRU since 20 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 10 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 7 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 3 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With TRU analysts setting a high price target of $95.00 and a low target of $62.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $75.94. Based on these targets, TRU could surge 54.6% to reach the target high and rise by 0.9% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 23.58% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. TRU will report FY 2022 earnings on 02/14/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $3.69 being high and $3.60 being low. For TRU, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $3.66. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. TransUnion surprised analysts by $0.02 when it reported $0.93 EPS against a consensus estimate of $0.91. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $0.01. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $0.85 and the low estimate is $0.75. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $0.82.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded TRU stock several times over the past three months with 4 Buys and 1 Sells. In these transactions, 28,143 shares were bought while 856 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 40 while that of sell transactions has risen to 20 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 376,903 while 172,974 shares were sold.

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