Adversity is less terrifying than hope: Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR)

Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: VCTR) stock fell -3.74% on Wednesday to $30.63 against a previous-day closing price of $31.82. With 0.19 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 0.21 million shares. During the session, the Asset Management company that operates in wider Financial sector, reached to the highest price of $31.44 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $28.80. The 52-week range on VCTR shows that it touched its highest point at $37.35 and its lowest point at $22.22 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $31.00. With its current market cap of 2.11 billion, VCTR has annualized dividend of $1.17 while the current yield stands at 3.82%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.21.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of VCTR was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -3.34%, but this was up by 9.00% over a month. Three-month performance surged to 7.44% while six-month performance rose 13.74%. The stock lost -12.96% in the past year, while it has lost -16.15% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for VCTR yields 4.01 with Next year EPS estimates of 4.31. For the next quarter, that number is 1.02. This implies an EPS growth rate of 30.20% for this year and -5.32% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 12.20% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 112.50%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 68.61 million VCTR shares are outstanding with a float of 62.02 million shares on hand for trading. On Oct 13, 2022, short shares totaled 1.59 million, which was 2.33% higher than short shares on Sep 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. David Craig Brown as the firm’s Chairman of Directors & CEO, Mr. Michael Dennis Policarpo II, CPA, CPA serves as its Pres, CFO & Chief Admin. Officer.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 84.88% of VCTR’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 62.89% of VCTR, in contrast to 15.76% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 13.52%. As the largest shareholder in VCTR with 2.53% of the stake, The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds 1,733,851 shares worth 1,733,851. A second-largest stockholder of VCTR, TimesSquare Capital Management LL, holds 1,575,859 shares, controlling over 2.30% of the firm’s shares. Van Berkom & Associates, Inc. is the third largest shareholder in VCTR, holding 1,458,479 shares or 2.13% stake. With a 1.75% stake in VCTR, the American Funds Small Cap World Fu is the largest stakeholder. A total of 1,196,000 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Pax Small Cap Fund, which owns about 1.42% of VCTR stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 972,198 shares valued at 28.12 million. Vanguard Total Stock Market Index holds 1.05% of the stake in VCTR, owning 721,738 shares worth 20.87 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for VCTR since 11 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 5 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 2 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 4 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With VCTR analysts setting a high price target of $40.00 and a low target of $20.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $30.80. Based on these targets, VCTR could surge 30.59% to reach the target high and fall by -34.7% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 0.56% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. VCTR will report FY 2022 earnings on 02/08/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $4.70 being high and $4.50 being low. For VCTR, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $4.55. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Victory Capital Holdings Inc. surprised analysts by $0.12 when it reported $1.19 EPS against a consensus estimate of $1.07. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was -$0.01. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $1.17 and the low estimate is $0.97. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $1.02.

Dividends & Yield:

In terms of dividends, VCTR has a current ratio of $1.0, which is $1.0 over the trailing 12-months. Dividend yield is another indicator that appeals to many investors, and VCTR currently yields $2.93. In the past year, VCTR’s dividend yield has been $2.93. Accordingly, VCTR has a current buyback yield of $2.36. This was $2.36 for the TTM.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded VCTR stock several times over the past three months with 12 Buys and 2 Sells. In these transactions, 135,317 shares were bought while 1,451,230 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 57 while that of sell transactions has risen to 25 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 1,983,861 while 6,202,724 shares were sold.

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