A look into Loyalty Ventures Inc. (LYLT)’s deeper side

Loyalty Ventures Inc. (NASDAQ: LYLT) stock fell -20.00% on Wednesday to $1.40 against a previous-day closing price of $1.75. With 2.26 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained heavier than its average volume of 0.85 million shares. During the session, the Software – Infrastructure company that operates in wider Technology sector, reached to the highest price of $1.6800 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $1.3400. The 52-week range on LYLT shows that it touched its highest point at $98.95 and its lowest point at $1.49 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $7.00.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of LYLT was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -19.54%, but this was down by -37.50% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -62.47% while six-month performance fell -92.14%. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for LYLT yields -19.21 with Next year EPS estimates of 0.97. For the next quarter, that number is 0.06. This implies an EPS growth rate of -97.70% for this year and 105.50% for next year.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 24.61 million LYLT shares are outstanding with a float of 19.80 million shares on hand for trading. On Jul 14, 2022, short shares totaled 1.43 million, which was 5.82% higher than short shares on Jun 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. Charles L. Horn as the firm’s CEO, Pres & Director, Ms. Claudia Mennen-Vermeule serves as its Chief Exec. Officer of BrandLoyalty.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 72.96% of LYLT’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 58.48% of LYLT, in contrast to 24.87% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 20.90%. As the largest shareholder in LYLT with 12.13% of the stake, BlackRock Fund Advisors holds 2,985,888 shares worth 2,985,888. A second-largest stockholder of LYLT, Pacer Advisors, Inc., holds 2,081,482 shares, controlling over 8.46% of the firm’s shares. Redwood Capital Management LLC is the third largest shareholder in LYLT, holding 1,979,885 shares or 8.05% stake. With a 3.13% stake in LYLT, the Franklin Mutual Ser. Fds. – Share is the largest stakeholder. A total of 769,066 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Pacer Fds. Tr. – US Cash Cows 100, which owns about 3.11% of LYLT stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 764,169 shares valued at 1.61 million. iShares Russell 2000 ETF holds 1.67% of the stake in LYLT, owning 410,689 shares worth 0.87 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for LYLT since 3 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 2 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 1 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With LYLT analysts setting a high price target of $12.00 and a low target of $4.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $7.00. Based on these targets, LYLT could surge 757.14% to reach the target high and rise by 185.71% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 400.0% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. LYLT will report FY 2022 earnings on 02/02/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of -$17.58 being high and -$17.70 being low. For LYLT, this leads to a yearly average estimate of -$17.63. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Loyalty Ventures Inc. surprised analysts by -$18.10 when it reported -$17.95 EPS against a consensus estimate of $0.15. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was -$0.26. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $0.14 and the low estimate is $0.02. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $0.08.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded LYLT stock several times over the past three months with 0 Buys and 0 Sells. In these transactions, 0 shares were bought while 0 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 48 while that of sell transactions has risen to 6 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 25,075,268 while 19,920,118 shares were sold.

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