UGI Corporation (UGI) can make a big difference with a little luck

UGI Corporation (NYSE: UGI) stock fell -0.97% on Thursday to $27.55 against a previous-day closing price of $27.82. With 2.62 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained heavier than its average volume of 1.55 million shares. During the session, the Utilities – Regulated Gas company that operates in wider Utilities sector, reached to the highest price of $27.90 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $27.00. The 52-week range on UGI shows that it touched its highest point at $44.54 and its lowest point at $27.23 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $40.40. With its current market cap of 5.76 billion, UGI has annualized dividend of $1.50 while the current yield stands at 5.44%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.12.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of UGI was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -1.68%, but this was down by -16.92% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -26.94% while six-month performance fell -31.86%. The stock lost -33.20% in the past year, while it has lost -25.68% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for UGI yields -2.94 with Next year EPS estimates of 3.22. For the next quarter, that number is 0.04. This implies an EPS growth rate of -27.00% for this year and 12.71% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 5.75% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 15.10%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 209.86 million UGI shares are outstanding with a float of 208.38 million shares on hand for trading. On Apr 27, 2023, short shares totaled 3.95 million, which was 1.88% higher than short shares on Mar 30, 2023. In addition to Mr. Roger Perreault as the firm’s Pres, CEO & Director, Mr. Robert F. Beard Jr. serves as its COO, Exec. VP of Natural Gas, Global Engineering & Construction and Procurement.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 86.85% of UGI’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 54.92% of UGI, in contrast to 30.34% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 1.70%. As the largest shareholder in UGI with 13.76% of the stake, BlackRock Fund Advisors holds 28,827,687 shares worth 28,827,687. A second-largest stockholder of UGI, The Vanguard Group, Inc., holds 24,963,713 shares, controlling over 11.91% of the firm’s shares. SSgA Funds Management, Inc. is the third largest shareholder in UGI, holding 17,592,668 shares or 8.40% stake. With a 4.39% stake in UGI, the SPDR S&P Dividend ETF is the largest stakeholder. A total of 9,188,954 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The iShares Core S&P Mid Cap ETF, which owns about 3.12% of UGI stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 6,539,273 shares valued at 221.55 million. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF holds 3.10% of the stake in UGI, owning 6,504,453 shares worth 220.37 million.

An Overview of Recent Financials:

Understanding a company as a customer does not mean you will understand it as an investor. The wise investor uses quantitative research to analyze metrics such as revenue, net income, and earnings. In its fiscal quarter reported on Mar 30, 2023, UGI reported revenue of $2.03B and operating income of $99.00M. The EBITDA in the recently reported quarter was $204.00M and diluted EPS was -$0.03.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for UGI since 0 analysts follow the stock currently. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With UGI analysts setting a high price target of $60.00 and a low target of $32.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $40.40. Based on these targets, UGI could surge 117.79% to reach the target high and rise by 16.15% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 46.64% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded UGI stock several times over the past three months with 0 Buys and 1 Sells. In these transactions, 0 shares were bought while 431 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 15 while that of sell transactions has risen to 7 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 384,856 while 359,522 shares were sold.

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