A History of Outperforming Analyst Forecasts and Beating the Odds: Ventas Inc. (VTR)

Ventas Inc. (NYSE: VTR) stock fell -0.12% on Thursday to $42.81 against a previous-day closing price of $42.86. With 2.16 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 2.25 million shares. During the session, the REIT – Healthcare Facilities company that operates in wider Real Estate sector, reached to the highest price of $43.17 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $42.11. The 52-week range on VTR shows that it touched its highest point at $58.24 and its lowest point at $35.33 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $54.11. With its current market cap of 17.23 billion, VTR has annualized dividend of $1.80 while the current yield stands at 4.20%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.21.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of VTR was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -4.97%, but this was down by -6.57% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -13.85% while six-month performance fell -4.19%. The stock lost -23.84% in the past year, while it has lost -4.97% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for VTR yields -0.17 with Next year EPS estimates of 0.36. For the next quarter, that number is 0.02. This implies an EPS growth rate of -193.60% for this year and 123.46% for next year.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 399.99 million VTR shares are outstanding with a float of 397.86 million shares on hand for trading. On Apr 27, 2023, short shares totaled 6.38 million, which was 1.59% higher than short shares on Mar 30, 2023. In addition to Ms. Debra A. Cafaro as the firm’s Chairman & CEO, Mr. Robert F. Probst serves as its Exec. VP & CFO.


Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 98.52% of VTR’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 59.45% of VTR, in contrast to 39.49% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 1.78%. As the largest shareholder in VTR with 15.94% of the stake, The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds 63,762,392 shares worth 63,762,392. A second-largest stockholder of VTR, SSgA Funds Management, Inc., holds 28,850,569 shares, controlling over 7.21% of the firm’s shares. BlackRock Fund Advisors is the third largest shareholder in VTR, holding 26,010,643 shares or 6.50% stake. With a 4.65% stake in VTR, the Stichting Pensioenfonds ABP is the largest stakeholder. A total of 18,597,402 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund, which owns about 4.39% of VTR stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 17,566,636 shares valued at 844.08 million. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF holds 3.11% of the stake in VTR, owning 12,427,465 shares worth 597.14 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for VTR since 0 analysts follow the stock currently. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With VTR analysts setting a high price target of $80.00 and a low target of $45.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $53.41. Based on these targets, VTR could surge 86.87% to reach the target high and rise by 5.12% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 24.76% from current levels.


EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded VTR stock several times over the past three months with 11 Buys and 4 Sells. In these transactions, 9,907 shares were bought while 20,599 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 52 while that of sell transactions has risen to 27 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 423,534 while 239,252 shares were sold.

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