Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: OLLI) stock fell -1.04% on Thursday to $52.23 against a previous-day closing price of $52.78. With 0.89 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained heavier than its average volume of 0.86 million shares. During the session, the Discount Stores company that operates in wider Consumer Defensive sector, reached to the highest price of $52.91 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $51.65. The 52-week range on OLLI shows that it touched its highest point at $72.27 and its lowest point at $39.60 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $58.50. Beta for the stock currently stands at 0.97.
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Price Performance and Earnings:
Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of OLLI was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -5.99%, but this was down by -7.98% over a month. Three-month performance surged to 0.10% while six-month performance fell -5.07%. The stock gained 28.68% in the past year, while it has gained 11.51% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for OLLI yields 1.50 with Next year EPS estimates of 2.38. For the next quarter, that number is 0.80. This implies an EPS growth rate of -34.10% for this year and 50.35% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 7.50% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 20.40%.
Float and Shares Shorts:
At present, 62.51 million OLLI shares are outstanding with a float of 58.50 million shares on hand for trading. On Jan 12, 2023, short shares totaled 5.95 million, which was 9.57% higher than short shares on Dec 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. John W. Swygert Jr. as the firm’s Pres, CEO & Director, Mr. Eric van der Valk serves as its Exec. VP & COO.
Through their ownership of 108.22% of OLLI’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 71.76% of OLLI, in contrast to 62.94% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 43.46%. As the largest shareholder in OLLI with 14.76% of the stake, Fidelity Management & Research Co holds 9,186,317 shares worth 9,186,317. A second-largest stockholder of OLLI, The Vanguard Group, Inc., holds 5,344,622 shares, controlling over 8.59% of the firm’s shares. Wasatch Advisors, Inc. is the third largest shareholder in OLLI, holding 4,947,509 shares or 7.95% stake. With a 3.41% stake in OLLI, the Fidelity Growth Company Fund is the largest stakeholder. A total of 2,125,013 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index, which owns about 3.09% of OLLI stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 1,921,903 shares valued at 110.59 million. iShares Core S&P Mid Cap ETF holds 2.92% of the stake in OLLI, owning 1,815,240 shares worth 104.45 million.
Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for OLLI since 15 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 7 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 1 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 6 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 1 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With OLLI analysts setting a high price target of $79.00 and a low target of $42.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $58.73. Based on these targets, OLLI could surge 51.25% to reach the target high and fall by -19.59% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 12.44% from current levels.
EPS: Estimates vs Actual
It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. OLLI will report FY 2023 earnings on 03/22/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $1.62 being high and $1.53 being low. For OLLI, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $1.58. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. surprised analysts by -$0.03 when it reported $0.37 EPS against a consensus estimate of $0.40. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was -$0.11. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $0.83 and the low estimate is $0.74. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $0.79.
Summary of Insider Activity:
Insiders traded OLLI stock several times over the past three months with 0 Buys and 0 Sells. In these transactions, 0 shares were bought while 0 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 21 while that of sell transactions has risen to 15 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 34,354 while 8,075 shares were sold.