Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (NYSE: HLF) stock fell -1.44% on Tuesday to $17.07 against a previous-day closing price of $17.32. With 1.0 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 1.78 million shares. During the session, the Packaged Foods company that operates in wider Consumer Defensive sector, reached to the highest price of $17.62 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $16.95. The 52-week range on HLF shows that it touched its highest point at $44.79 and its lowest point at $12.04 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $28.50. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.09.
Price Performance and Earnings:
Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of HLF was up-trending over the past week, with a rise of 0.65%, but this was up by 20.81% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -18.75% while six-month performance fell -26.99%. The stock lost -61.52% in the past year, while it has gained 14.72% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for HLF yields 3.04 with Next year EPS estimates of 3.35. For the next quarter, that number is 0.32. This implies an EPS growth rate of 49.10% for this year and -5.90% for next year. EPS is expected to decline by -0.50% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 22.30%.
Float and Shares Shorts:
At present, 98.00 million HLF shares are outstanding with a float of 96.62 million shares on hand for trading. On Oct 13, 2022, short shares totaled 6.04 million, which was 6.17% higher than short shares on Sep 14, 2022. In addition to Dr. John O. Agwunobi M.B.A., M.P.H. as the firm’s Chairman & CEO, Mr. John G. DeSimone serves as its Pres.
Through their ownership of 94.72% of HLF’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 65.08% of HLF, in contrast to 42.03% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 35.42%. As the largest shareholder in HLF with 13.06% of the stake, The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds 12,784,275 shares worth 12,784,275. A second-largest stockholder of HLF, Route One Investment Co. LP, holds 10,845,794 shares, controlling over 11.08% of the firm’s shares. The WindAcre Partnership LLC is the third largest shareholder in HLF, holding 9,778,500 shares or 9.99% stake. With a 3.05% stake in HLF, the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index is the largest stakeholder. A total of 2,983,306 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Small Cap Index Fund, which owns about 2.58% of HLF stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 2,521,888 shares valued at 37.53 million. iShares Russell 2000 ETF holds 2.23% of the stake in HLF, owning 2,179,884 shares worth 32.44 million.
Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for HLF since 4 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 2 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 2 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With HLF analysts setting a high price target of $31.00 and a low target of $26.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $28.50. Based on these targets, HLF could surge 81.61% to reach the target high and rise by 52.31% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 66.96% from current levels.
EPS: Estimates vs Actual
It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. HLF will report FY 2022 earnings on 02/20/2024. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $3.75 being high and $2.94 being low. For HLF, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $3.35. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. surprised analysts by $0.11 when it reported $0.91 EPS against a consensus estimate of $0.80. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $0.22. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $0.50 and the low estimate is $0.14. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $0.32.
Summary of Insider Activity:
Insiders traded HLF stock several times over the past three months with 11 Buys and 2 Sells. In these transactions, 857,180 shares were bought while 205,421 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 41 while that of sell transactions has risen to 32 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 1,150,270 while 246,927 shares were sold.