Are Smart Investors Making the Right Decision? YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF)

YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE: YPF) stock jumped 0.17% on Tuesday to $12.00 against a previous-day closing price of $11.98. With 2.03 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 2.54 million shares. During the session, the Oil & Gas Integrated company that operates in wider Energy sector, reached to the highest price of $12.27 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $11.56. The 52-week range on YPF shows that it touched its highest point at $13.11 and its lowest point at $2.82 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $6.61. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.45.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of YPF was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -1.80%, but this was up by 38.25% over a month. Three-month performance surged to 67.36% while six-month performance rose 282.17%. The stock gained 213.32% in the past year, while it has gained 30.58% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for YPF yields 3.29 with Next year EPS estimates of 3.17. For the next quarter, that number is 1.07. This implies an EPS growth rate of 100.40% for this year and -29.90% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 47.92% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 15.00%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 393.24 million YPF shares are outstanding with a float of 193.36 million shares on hand for trading. On Oct 13, 2022, short shares totaled 9.7 million, which was 2.47% higher than short shares on Sep 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. Pablo Anibal Iuliano as the firm’s CEO & Director, Mr. Alejandro Daniel Lew serves as its Chief Financial Officer.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 47.48% of YPF’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have minority control over the company. Other institutions hold 8.91% of YPF, in contrast to 1.86% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for –. As the largest shareholder in YPF with 1.65% of the stake, Helikon Investments Ltd. holds 6,493,467 shares worth 6,493,467. A second-largest stockholder of YPF, Two Sigma Investments LP, holds 3,437,375 shares, controlling over 0.87% of the firm’s shares. Arrowstreet Capital LP is the third largest shareholder in YPF, holding 2,701,617 shares or 0.69% stake. With a 0.42% stake in YPF, the BlackRock Strategic Fds. – Emergi is the largest stakeholder. A total of 1,660,476 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The St. James’s Place Unit Trust – Gl, which owns about 0.19% of YPF stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 760,317 shares valued at 6.99 million. Hartford International Value Fund holds 0.15% of the stake in YPF, owning 598,213 shares worth 5.5 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for YPF since 12 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 3 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 5 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 3 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 1 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With YPF analysts setting a high price target of $48.57 and a low target of $4.20, the average target price over the next 12 months is $11.22. Based on these targets, YPF could surge 304.75% to reach the target high and fall by -65.0% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a decline of -6.5% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. YPF will report FY 2022 earnings on 03/01/2024. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $6.05 being high and $1.89 being low. For YPF, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $4.72. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. YPF Sociedad Anonima surprised analysts by $0.46 when it reported $1.72 EPS against a consensus estimate of $1.26. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $1.11. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $1.56 and the low estimate is $0.57. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $1.07.

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