How does Jaguar Health Inc. (JAGX) change from a tortoise to a hare?

Jaguar Health Inc. (NASDAQ: JAGX) stock fell -14.52% on Monday to $5.43 against a previous-day closing price of $6.35. With 0.75 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained heavier than its average volume of 0.12 million shares. During the session, the Biotechnology company that operates in wider Healthcare sector, reached to the highest price of $6.15 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $5.26. The 52-week range on JAGX shows that it touched its highest point at $66.75 and its lowest point at $6.08 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $4.00. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.77.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of JAGX was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -23.79%, but this was down by -25.36% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -49.72% while six-month performance fell -77.16%. The stock lost -91.61% in the past year, while it has lost -16.69% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for JAGX yields -0.79 with Next year EPS estimates of -0.50. For the next quarter, that number is -0.13. This implies an EPS growth rate of 60.80% for this year and 35.10% for next year.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 145.24 million JAGX shares are outstanding with a float of 115.34 million shares on hand for trading. On Dec 29, 2022, short shares totaled 7.33 million, which was 4.85% higher than short shares on Nov 29, 2022. In addition to Ms. Lisa A. Conte as the firm’s Founder, CEO, Pres & Director, Mr. Jonathan S. Wolin CPA, J.D., M.B.A. serves as its Chief of Staff, Chief Compliance Officer & Gen. Counsel.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 3.91% of JAGX’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have minority control over the company. Other institutions hold 2.51% of JAGX, in contrast to 1.40% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 0.14%. As the largest shareholder in JAGX with 1.09% of the stake, The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds 1,563,408 shares worth 1,563,408. A second-largest stockholder of JAGX, Millennium Management LLC, holds 857,322 shares, controlling over 0.60% of the firm’s shares. Renaissance Technologies LLC is the third largest shareholder in JAGX, holding 730,047 shares or 0.51% stake.


An Overview of Recent Financials:

Understanding a company as a customer does not mean you will understand it as an investor. The wise investor uses quantitative research to analyze metrics such as revenue, net income, and earnings. In its fiscal quarter reported on Sep 29, 2022, JAGX reported revenue of $2.92M and operating income of -$6.48M. The EBITDA in the recently reported quarter was -$6.92M and diluted EPS was -$0.12.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for JAGX since 1 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 1 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 0 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With JAGX analysts setting a high price target of $150.00 and a low target of $150.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $150.00. Based on these targets, JAGX could surge 2662.43% to reach the target high and rise by 2662.43% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 2662.43% from current levels.


EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. JAGX will report FY 2022 earnings on 03/11/2024. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of -$57.75 being high and -$57.75 being low. For JAGX, this leads to a yearly average estimate of -$57.75. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Jaguar Health Inc. surprised analysts by -$0.04 when it reported -$0.12 EPS against a consensus estimate of -$0.07. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is -$9.75 and the low estimate is -$9.75. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus -$9.75.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded JAGX stock several times over the past three months with 0 Buys and 0 Sells. In these transactions, 0 shares were bought while 0 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 9 while that of sell transactions has remained unmoved to 0 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 122,377 while 0 shares were sold.

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