Healthy Upside Potential: Vacasa Inc. (VCSA)

Vacasa Inc. (NASDAQ: VCSA) stock jumped 5.88% on Monday to $1.62 against a previous-day closing price of $1.53. With 1.34 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 2.21 million shares. During the session, the Software – Application company that operates in wider Technology sector, reached to the highest price of $1.6200 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $1.5000. The 52-week range on VCSA shows that it touched its highest point at $9.38 and its lowest point at $1.08 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $4.03.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of VCSA was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -4.14%, but this was up by 37.29% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -54.87% while six-month performance fell -37.45%. The stock lost -78.43% in the past year, while it has gained 28.57% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for VCSA yields 2.02 with Next year EPS estimates of -0.51. For the next quarter, that number is -0.40. This implies an EPS growth rate of -700.00% for this year and -6.30% for next year.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 226.84 million VCSA shares are outstanding with a float of 114.95 million shares on hand for trading. On Dec 29, 2022, short shares totaled 9.76 million, which was 4.16% higher than short shares on Nov 29, 2022. In addition to Mr. Eric Breon as the firm’s Co-Founder & Director, Ms. Jamie Cohen serves as its Chief Financial Officer.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 82.46% of VCSA’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 8.93% of VCSA, in contrast to 33.30% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 19.88%. As the largest shareholder in VCSA with 4.65% of the stake, Comprehensive Financial Managemen holds 10,893,096 shares worth 10,893,096. A second-largest stockholder of VCSA, The Vanguard Group, Inc., holds 8,613,534 shares, controlling over 3.67% of the firm’s shares. BlackRock Fund Advisors is the third largest shareholder in VCSA, holding 5,997,755 shares or 2.56% stake. With a 1.31% stake in VCSA, the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index is the largest stakeholder. A total of 3,077,400 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Small Cap Index Fund, which owns about 1.29% of VCSA stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 3,021,350 shares valued at 3.81 million. iShares Russell 2000 ETF holds 1.10% of the stake in VCSA, owning 2,573,240 shares worth 3.24 million.

An Overview of Recent Financials:

Understanding a company as a customer does not mean you will understand it as an investor. The wise investor uses quantitative research to analyze metrics such as revenue, net income, and earnings. In its fiscal quarter reported on Sep 29, 2022, VCSA reported revenue of $310.35M and operating income of -$30.30M. The EBITDA in the recently reported quarter was $31.19M and diluted EPS was $0.02.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for VCSA since 9 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 4 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 5 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With VCSA analysts setting a high price target of $5.00 and a low target of $2.40, the average target price over the next 12 months is $4.03. Based on these targets, VCSA could surge 208.64% to reach the target high and rise by 48.15% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 148.77% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. VCSA will report FY 2022 earnings on 03/14/2024. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of -$0.28 being high and -$0.59 being low. For VCSA, this leads to a yearly average estimate of -$0.45. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Vacasa Inc. surprised analysts by -$0.03 when it reported $0.04 EPS against a consensus estimate of $0.07. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $0.20. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is -$0.21 and the low estimate is -$0.45. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus -$0.37.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded VCSA stock several times over the past three months with 0 Buys and 0 Sells. In these transactions, 0 shares were bought while 0 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 14 while that of sell transactions has risen to 13 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 3,436,512 while 3,864,639 shares were sold.

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