This trade activity should not be overlooked: AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER)

AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE: AER) stock fell -3.14% on Friday to $41.37 against a previous-day closing price of $42.71. With 1.29 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained heavier than its average volume of 0.86 million shares. During the session, the Airports & Air Services company that operates in wider Industrials sector, reached to the highest price of $42.72 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $40.47. The 52-week range on AER shows that it touched its highest point at $71.38 and its lowest point at $37.20 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $67.81. Beta for the stock currently stands at 2.05.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of AER was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -10.80%, but this was down by -11.41% over a month. Three-month performance surged to 6.65% while six-month performance fell -24.27%. The stock lost -24.81% in the past year, while it has lost -36.76% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for AER yields -3.16 with Next year EPS estimates of 8.37. For the next quarter, that number is 1.39. This implies an EPS growth rate of 387.30% for this year and 15.93% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 12.00% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 4.00%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 240.37 million AER shares are outstanding with a float of 239.19 million shares on hand for trading. On Jul 14, 2022, short shares totaled 4.24 million, which was 1.72% higher than short shares on Jun 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. Aengus Kelly as the firm’s CEO & Exec. Director, Mr. Peter L. Juhas serves as its Chief Financial Officer.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 102.18% of AER’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 32.13% of AER, in contrast to 23.23% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 2.42%. As the largest shareholder in AER with 6.32% of the stake, Wellington Management Co. LLP holds 15,505,983 shares worth 15,505,983. A second-largest stockholder of AER, Eagle Capital Management LLC, holds 9,042,041 shares, controlling over 3.69% of the firm’s shares. Allspring Global Investments LLC is the third largest shareholder in AER, holding 8,724,331 shares or 3.56% stake. With a 2.71% stake in AER, the Allspring Special Mid Cap Value F is the largest stakeholder. A total of 6,653,200 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Selected Value Fund, which owns about 1.47% of AER stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 3,596,379 shares valued at 158.42 million. Franklin Mutual Ser. Fds. – Globa holds 1.45% of the stake in AER, owning 3,555,079 shares worth 156.6 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for AER since 11 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 10 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 0 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 1 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With AER analysts setting a high price target of $78.00 and a low target of $58.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $68.94. Based on these targets, AER could surge 88.54% to reach the target high and rise by 40.2% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 66.64% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. AER will report FY 2022 earnings on 02/16/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $6.39 being high and -$4.81 being low. For AER, this leads to a yearly average estimate of -$1.66. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. AerCap Holdings N.V. surprised analysts by $0.38 when it reported $1.40 EPS against a consensus estimate of $1.02. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was -$9.71. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $1.31 and the low estimate is $0.88. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $1.10.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded AER stock several times over the past three months with 0 Buys and 0 Sells. In these transactions, 0 shares were bought while 0 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has remained unchanged to 0 while that of sell transactions has remained unmoved to 0 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 0 while 0 shares were sold.

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