Does Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) offer a good opportunity for investors?

Simon Property Group Inc. (NYSE: SPG) stock fell -2.72% on Friday to $95.65 against a previous-day closing price of $98.32. With 1.77 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 1.8 million shares. During the session, the REIT – Retail company that operates in wider Real Estate sector, reached to the highest price of $100.03 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $95.61. The 52-week range on SPG shows that it touched its highest point at $171.12 and its lowest point at $93.06 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $127.38. With its current market cap of 31.26 billion, SPG has annualized dividend of $7.00 while the current yield stands at 7.32%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.50.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of SPG was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -4.38%, but this was down by -10.39% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -0.31% while six-month performance fell -28.00%. The stock lost -26.64% in the past year, while it has lost -40.13% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for SPG yields 6.41 with Next year EPS estimates of 5.99. For the next quarter, that number is 1.44. This implies an EPS growth rate of 90.30% for this year and 8.38% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 8.60% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 3.10%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 328.44 million SPG shares are outstanding with a float of 325.77 million shares on hand for trading. On Jul 14, 2022, short shares totaled 6.94 million, which was 2.11% higher than short shares on Jun 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. David E. Simon as the firm’s Chairman, CEO & Pres, Mr. Brian J. McDade serves as its Exec. VP, CFO & Treasurer.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 89.47% of SPG’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 49.51% of SPG, in contrast to 39.16% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 1.21%. As the largest shareholder in SPG with 14.33% of the stake, The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds 46,898,114 shares worth 46,898,114. A second-largest stockholder of SPG, Cohen & Steers Capital Management, holds 23,279,124 shares, controlling over 7.11% of the firm’s shares. SSgA Funds Management, Inc. is the third largest shareholder in SPG, holding 22,738,299 shares or 6.95% stake. With a 4.48% stake in SPG, the Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund is the largest stakeholder. A total of 14,672,055 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index, which owns about 2.97% of SPG stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 9,721,111 shares valued at 991.36 million. Vanguard 500 Index Fund holds 2.24% of the stake in SPG, owning 7,326,356 shares worth 747.14 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for SPG since 17 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 8 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 9 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With SPG analysts setting a high price target of $160.00 and a low target of $100.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $123.93. Based on these targets, SPG could surge 67.28% to reach the target high and rise by 4.55% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 29.57% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. SPG will report FY 2022 earnings on 02/02/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $7.20 being high and $5.29 being low. For SPG, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $5.96. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Simon Property Group Inc. surprised analysts by -$0.15 when it reported $1.32 EPS against a consensus estimate of $1.47. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $0.05. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $1.82 and the low estimate is $1.25. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $1.48.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded SPG stock several times over the past three months with 11 Buys and 0 Sells. In these transactions, 3,809 shares were bought while 0 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 63 while that of sell transactions has risen to 11 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 82,335 while 24,003 shares were sold.

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