Aramark (ARMK) Performance and Fundamentals Dashboard tells a completely different story

Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) stock fell -2.63% on Friday to $35.95 against a previous-day closing price of $36.92. With 1.92 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained heavier than its average volume of 1.67 million shares. During the session, the Restaurants company that operates in wider Consumer Cyclical sector, reached to the highest price of $37.09 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $35.83. The 52-week range on ARMK shows that it touched its highest point at $39.95 and its lowest point at $28.74 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $41.19. With its current market cap of 9.40 billion, ARMK has annualized dividend of $0.44 while the current yield stands at 1.22%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.66.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of ARMK was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -5.57%, but this was down by -1.53% over a month. Three-month performance surged to 21.41% while six-month performance fell -1.91%. The stock gained 14.09% in the past year, while it has lost -2.44% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for ARMK yields 0.70 with Next year EPS estimates of 2.05. For the next quarter, that number is 0.49. This implies an EPS growth rate of 80.40% for this year and 73.69% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 32.70% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of -18.60%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 257.56 million ARMK shares are outstanding with a float of 255.65 million shares on hand for trading. On Aug 30, 2022, short shares totaled 8.09 million, which was 3.14% higher than short shares on Jul 28, 2022. In addition to Mr. John J. Zillmer as the firm’s CEO & Director, Mr. Thomas G. Ondrof serves as its Exec. VP & CFO.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 105.74% of ARMK’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 64.22% of ARMK, in contrast to 49.73% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 16.11%. As the largest shareholder in ARMK with 9.54% of the stake, Mantle Ridge LP holds 24,575,245 shares worth 24,575,245. A second-largest stockholder of ARMK, The Vanguard Group, Inc., holds 22,969,035 shares, controlling over 8.91% of the firm’s shares. RBC Global Asset Management, Inc. is the third largest shareholder in ARMK, holding 20,748,665 shares or 8.05% stake. With a 4.41% stake in ARMK, the American Funds Insurance Series – is the largest stakeholder. A total of 11,375,152 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Eaton Vance Atlanta Capital SMID, which owns about 4.19% of ARMK stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 10,787,341 shares valued at 385.22 million. Vanguard Total Stock Market Index holds 2.96% of the stake in ARMK, owning 7,636,307 shares worth 272.69 million.

An Overview of Recent Financials:

Understanding a company as a customer does not mean you will understand it as an investor. The wise investor uses quantitative research to analyze metrics such as revenue, net income, and earnings. In its fiscal quarter reported on Jun 30, 2022, ARMK reported revenue of $4.13B and operating income of $147.89M. Over the past year, revenue came in at $15.49B while operating income stood at $562.44M. It generated $40.33M net income for the quarter, which came to $154.12M over the last twelve months. The EBITDA in the recently reported quarter was $280.86M and diluted EPS was $0.16. EBITDA for the full year was $1.11B.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for ARMK since 14 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 6 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 1 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 7 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With ARMK analysts setting a high price target of $53.00 and a low target of $34.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $41.50. Based on these targets, ARMK could surge 47.43% to reach the target high and fall by -5.42% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 15.44% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. ARMK will report FY 2022 earnings on 11/15/2022. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $1.25 being high and $1.13 being low. For ARMK, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $1.18. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Aramark surprised analysts by $0.01 when it reported $0.25 EPS against a consensus estimate of $0.24. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $0.01. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $0.57 and the low estimate is $0.45. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $0.49.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded ARMK stock several times over the past three months with 2 Buys and 1 Sells. In these transactions, 1,227 shares were bought while 301 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 76 while that of sell transactions has risen to 21 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 187,526 while 46,228 shares were sold.

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