There is no way Umpqua Holdings Corporation (UMPQ) can keep these numbers up

Umpqua Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ: UMPQ) stock fell -1.20% on Friday to $17.32 against a previous-day closing price of $17.53. With 1.3 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 1.42 million shares. During the session, the Banks – Regional company that operates in wider Financial sector, reached to the highest price of $17.50 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $17.25. The 52-week range on UMPQ shows that it touched its highest point at $22.06 and its lowest point at $15.77 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $20.02. With its current market cap of 3.76 billion, UMPQ has annualized dividend of $0.84 while the current yield stands at 4.85%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 0.99.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of UMPQ was down-trending over the past week, with a drop of -1.93%, but this was up by 1.11% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -4.26% while six-month performance fell -15.06%. The stock lost -8.02% in the past year, while it has lost -9.98% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for UMPQ yields 1.68 with Next year EPS estimates of 2.54. For the next quarter, that number is 0.39. This implies an EPS growth rate of 127.70% for this year and 53.01% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 10.00% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 13.00%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 216.78 million UMPQ shares are outstanding with a float of 215.03 million shares on hand for trading. On Jul 14, 2022, short shares totaled 7.17 million, which was 3.31% higher than short shares on Jun 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. Cort Lane O’Haver as the firm’s CEO, Pres & Non-Independent Director, Mr. Ronald L. Farnsworth Jr., CPA, CPA serves as its Exec. VP & CFO.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 91.11% of UMPQ’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 52.11% of UMPQ, in contrast to 37.04% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 16.74%. As the largest shareholder in UMPQ with 9.46% of the stake, The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds 20,532,047 shares worth 20,532,047. A second-largest stockholder of UMPQ, BlackRock Fund Advisors, holds 17,120,173 shares, controlling over 7.89% of the firm’s shares. Macquarie Investment Management B is the third largest shareholder in UMPQ, holding 13,772,040 shares or 6.35% stake. With a 2.95% stake in UMPQ, the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index is the largest stakeholder. A total of 6,397,197 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The iShares Core S&P Mid Cap ETF, which owns about 2.88% of UMPQ stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 6,241,046 shares valued at 104.66 million. Eaton Vance Atlanta Capital SMID holds 2.77% of the stake in UMPQ, owning 6,008,728 shares worth 100.77 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for UMPQ since 6 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 1 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 5 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With UMPQ analysts setting a high price target of $22.65 and a low target of $18.47, the average target price over the next 12 months is $20.02. Based on these targets, UMPQ could surge 30.77% to reach the target high and rise by 6.64% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 15.59% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. UMPQ will report FY 2022 earnings on 01/25/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $1.76 being high and $1.19 being low. For UMPQ, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $1.50. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Umpqua Holdings Corporation surprised analysts by -$0.03 when it reported $0.36 EPS against a consensus estimate of $0.39. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $0.03. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $0.49 and the low estimate is $0.09. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $0.31.

Dividends & Yield:

In terms of dividends, UMPQ has a current ratio of $0.84, which is $0.84 over the trailing 12-months, while a dividend of $0.81 is likely to be paid on average over the next five years. Dividend yield is another indicator that appeals to many investors, and UMPQ currently yields $4.85. In the past year, UMPQ’s dividend yield has been $4.85, but when looking at the stock over the past five years, its yield has been $4.8. Accordingly, UMPQ has a current buyback yield of $2.19. This was $2.19 for the TTM, and it was $0.53 for the past five years.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded UMPQ stock several times over the past three months with 0 Buys and 0 Sells. In these transactions, 0 shares were bought while 0 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 33 while that of sell transactions has risen to 49 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 260,641 while 142,227 shares were sold.

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