A better buy-in window may exist right now for Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE)

Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) stock jumped 1.69% on Friday to $105.65 against a previous-day closing price of $103.89. With 3.75 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained heavier than its average volume of 3.6 million shares. During the session, the Travel Services company that operates in wider Consumer Cyclical sector, reached to the highest price of $106.03 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $101.50. The 52-week range on EXPE shows that it touched its highest point at $217.72 and its lowest point at $88.70 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $177.32. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.62.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of EXPE was up-trending over the past week, with a rise of 1.82%, but this was up by 8.73% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -29.71% while six-month performance fell -43.82%. The stock lost -31.74% in the past year, while it has lost -41.54% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for EXPE yields 1.25 with Next year EPS estimates of 9.56. For the next quarter, that number is 1.58. This implies an EPS growth rate of 90.50% for this year and 35.26% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 22.80% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of -24.40%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 156.34 million EXPE shares are outstanding with a float of 150.88 million shares on hand for trading. On Jul 14, 2022, short shares totaled 7.47 million, which was 4.76% higher than short shares on Jun 14, 2022. In addition to Mr. Barry Diller as the firm’s Exec. Chairman & Sr. Exec., Mr. Peter Maxwell Kern serves as its CEO & Vice Chairman.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 98.56% of EXPE’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have majority control over the company. Other institutions hold 53.97% of EXPE, in contrast to 44.48% held by mutual funds. Shares owned by individuals account for 18.77%. As the largest shareholder in EXPE with 10.26% of the stake, The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds 15,550,197 shares worth 15,550,197. A second-largest stockholder of EXPE, T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc., holds 8,548,138 shares, controlling over 5.64% of the firm’s shares. D1 Capital Partners LP is the third largest shareholder in EXPE, holding 7,612,643 shares or 5.02% stake. With a 2.95% stake in EXPE, the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index is the largest stakeholder. A total of 4,465,400 shares are owned by the mutual fund manager. The Vanguard Mid Cap Index Fund, which owns about 2.30% of EXPE stock, is the second-largest Mutual Fund holder. It holds 3,489,265 shares valued at 330.89 million. Vanguard 500 Index Fund holds 2.21% of the stake in EXPE, owning 3,354,667 shares worth 318.12 million.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for EXPE since 32 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 12 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 0 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 18 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 2 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With EXPE analysts setting a high price target of $275.00 and a low target of $108.00, the average target price over the next 12 months is $162.96. Based on these targets, EXPE could surge 160.29% to reach the target high and rise by 2.22% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 54.25% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. EXPE will report FY 2022 earnings on 02/09/2023. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $9.05 being high and $4.97 being low. For EXPE, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $7.04. The earnings surprise of a firm occurs when the actual results change from the consensus earnings estimate. Expedia Group Inc. surprised analysts by $0.01 when it reported -$0.47 EPS against a consensus estimate of -$0.48. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $0.26. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $2.26 and the low estimate is $0.87. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $1.59.

Dividends & Yield:

In terms of dividends, EXPE has a dividend of $1.12 is likely to be paid on average over the next five years. Dividend yield is another indicator that appeals to many investors, and EXPE currently yields $0.19. In the past year, EXPE’s dividend yield has been $0.19, but when looking at the stock over the past five years, its yield has been $1.0. Accordingly, EXPE has a current buyback yield of $0.95. This was $0.95 for the TTM, and it was $3.24 for the past five years.

Summary of Insider Activity:

Insiders traded EXPE stock several times over the past three months with 41 Buys and 6 Sells. In these transactions, 34,442 shares were bought while 8,094 shares were sold. The number of buy transactions has increased to 112 while that of sell transactions has risen to 94 over the past year. The total number of shares bought during that period was 764,065 while 707,947 shares were sold.

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